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Soccer — major leagues and competitions

AI Soccer Predictions Today

Soccer predictions on Sportslyx read the three-way market, form, shot data and fixture congestion, then publish a win probability and an AI breakdown for each match. Draws are graded as a push, and that rule is stated openly.

See today’s AI picks — freeSoccer analytics hub

5 Soccer matches on today’s board (Fri, Oct 23, UTC), 5 of them still to play with a market-derived probability. Over the last six months 194 Soccer reads settled: 125-38-31 W-L-P, 77% hit rate and +17.4% ROI at a flat stake. Every probability on this page is derived from the market line rather than from the language model, and the written AI breakdown for each match is inside the product.

Fri, Oct 23 · 5 matches · UTC

Today’s Soccer Predictions

Soccer matches on today’s board, grouped by league, ordered by start time, with the public lines the feed has published. Where both moneyline prices exist, the market-derived win probability of the favourite is shown — the same number a subscriber sees on the card. The written AI breakdown for each match lives inside the product.

5 of the 5 matches listed above are still to play with both moneyline prices and show the market-derived chance of the favourite: its fair probability once the bookmaker margin is removed from both prices — for soccer, from the two winning sides of the 1X2 line with the draw set aside. It is the market’s estimate, not a Sportslyx selection, and it moves when the line moves.

36 matches

Soccer Predictions This Week by League

Matches over the next seven days beyond today, grouped by league — up to 6 per league here, with the full fixture list on each league page. Lines appear as the market opens; a match listed without a line has not been priced yet.

Premier League

All 9 matches · Premier League predictions

MLS

All 29 matches · MLS predictions

Tomorrow’s slate has its own page: Soccer predictions tomorrow.

Recent Graded Soccer Picks

The last days with settled Soccer picks from the company board — the pick, the price and the final score, exactly as they settled. Today’s and tomorrow’s picks stay inside the product; past days are public.

Wed, Oct 21

0-1-0 W-L-P · −$100 at a flat $100 stake

Tue, Oct 20

1-1-0 W-L-P · −$71 at a flat $100 stake

Sun, Oct 18

0-1-0 W-L-P · −$100 at a flat $100 stake

Every settled Soccer pick by month: Soccer prediction results.

How Soccer Predictions Are Made

Every Soccer estimate on this site is anchored to the market and written from a data package assembled for that match. What follows is the Soccer-specific version of the pipeline described on the methodology page.

Soccer is a three-way market. The win probability shown is derived from the 1X2 prices with the draw treated as a push: the two winning sides are de-vigged against each other and the draw is set aside rather than folded into either side. League table and form, goals and shots per match — used as a proxy for chance quality, since expected-goals feeds are not ingested — rest and fixture congestion, and head-to-head history are read before the breakdown is written.

Grading follows the same rule: a drawn match is a push, not a loss. That is more generous than a true draw-no-bet price, so the published soccer ROI is inflated compared with how a bookmaker would settle the same reads. The rule is repeated here, on the predictions hub and in the methodology because it changes how the record should be read.

The probability on every card is market-derived: it comes from the published prices, not from the language model's self-reported confidence. What the breakdown adds is context — why the number sits where it does, what could move it and where the package is thin — together with a data-quality tier (rich, partial or weak) that tells the model how much to claim. Feeds are public and can be delayed or incomplete; when a line is missing, the card says so instead of inventing a figure.

Markets read for Soccer: 1X2 match odds, goal totals and draw-no-bet context. The probability comes from the 1X2 match odds; the others are context. The full grading rules, including how voids and pushes are handled, are on the methodology page.

Inputs read before the breakdown is written

  • League table and form
  • Goals and shot data
  • Rest and fixture congestion
  • Market odds and movement
  • Head-to-head history

Sourced from the public scoreboard feed and its enrichment feeds; see data sources for refresh timing.

Soccer Prediction Accuracy

Settled Soccer reads by calendar month (UTC), newest first, from the same records a subscriber sees inside the product. Hit rate excludes pushes; ROI assumes a flat stake on every read.

Soccer — last six months
MonthSettledW-L-PHit rateROI
October 20261912-7-063%-13.8%
September 20261912-7-063%-14.0%
August 20261613-3-081%+13.0%
July 20266339-15-972%+24.6%
June 20267749-6-2289%+27.9%
May 202600-0-0——
Total194125-38-3177%+17.4%

Over the period shown: 194 settled reads, 125-38-31 W-L-P, a hit rate of 77% and an ROI of +17.4% at a flat stake.

Because a draw is a push, the soccer row shows fewer losses and a higher ROI than a draw-no-bet settlement would produce. The pushes column is the honest part of that story — read it before the percentage. Past results do not predict future results; a good month is partly variance, and the company board leans on the market favourite by design, so a high hit rate at short prices is the expected shape rather than proof of an edge. Nothing here is advice — it is a record, published so you can judge the method for yourself.

Markets We Cover for Soccer

The Soccer package reads 3 markets from the public feeds. The probability comes from the 1X2 match odds; each market is described below with how it is used in the breakdown and, where applicable, how it is graded.

1X2 match odds

The three-way market: home win, draw, away win. Sportslyx derives the win probability from the two winning sides of these prices, sets the draw aside and grades a draw as a push — a rule stated openly because it flatters the record compared with a draw-no-bet settlement.

Goal totals

Over/under on total goals, usually set at two and a half. The breakdown reads it with goals and shots per match and fixture congestion to describe whether the market expects an open match or a cagey one.

Draw-no-bet context

A two-way version of the match market in which a draw refunds the stake. Sportslyx does not re-price it, but uses the concept to explain why the published soccer record — where draws push — runs more generous than a true draw-no-bet settlement.

Soccer Prediction FAQ

How does Sportslyx treat the draw?

A drawn match is graded as a push — the read is neither a win nor a loss. This is stated on every soccer page and in the methodology because it flatters the published record compared with a true draw-no-bet settlement.

Are soccer predictions graded publicly?

Every settled read is on the Pick Tracker with monthly hit rate and ROI, and the table on this page shows the last six months for soccer alone.

Where does the soccer win probability come from?

From the 1X2 line. The two winning sides are de-vigged against each other and the draw is set aside rather than folded into either side, so the percentage shown is a two-way market estimate. A drawn match is then graded as a push. The number is the market’s, not the language model’s self-reported confidence.

When does a read on a soccer match close?

Fifteen minutes after the scheduled start. The breakdown stays readable afterwards, but a pick can no longer be added or changed, so no record contains a read made with the result partly known. An abandoned or postponed match is void and removed from the month.

Open the AI breakdown for every Soccer match

This page shows the Soccer slate, the public lines and the graded record. The app adds the written AI breakdown for each match and the data package behind it. Without an account you can see the predicted winner and win chance for every upcoming match on the free preview. When you want more, create a free account and start with a 30-day free trial, no card; plans from $9/mo, cancel any time.

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Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain. 18+ only. Please play responsibly — see our Responsible Play page.