Ultimate Fighting Championship

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev — AI Fight Predictions

UFC predictions on Sportslyx compare striking and grappling profiles, finish rates, reach and recent activity, then publish a win probability and an AI breakdown for every bout on the card.

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UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev on Sat, Oct 24: 14 fights on the card. The six-month table below fills in as reads settle; nothing is entered by hand. Every probability on this page is derived from the market line rather than from the language model, and the written AI breakdown for each fight is inside the product.

Upcoming UFC Cards & Fight Win Probabilities

1 card on the board for the coming week, each fight with its public moneyline and, where both prices exist, the market-derived win probability of the favourite. Times are UTC; prelims and the main card can fall on two UTC days.

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Sat, Oct 24 · 14 fights

13 of the 14 fights listed above are still to play with both moneyline prices and show the market-derived chance of the favourite: its fair probability once the bookmaker margin is removed from both prices. It is the market’s estimate, not a Sportslyx selection, and it moves when the line moves.

Recent Graded UFC Picks

The last days with settled UFC picks from the company board — the pick, the price and the final score, exactly as they settled. Today’s and tomorrow’s picks stay inside the product; past days are public.

No settled UFC picks in the current or previous month yet. UFC runs year-round, with numbered pay-per-view cards roughly monthly and Fight Night events most weekends. The full history is in the graded results ledger.

Every settled UFC pick by month: UFC prediction results.

How UFC Predictions Are Made

Every UFC estimate on this site is anchored to the market and written from a data package assembled for that fight. What follows is the UFC-specific version of the pipeline described on the methodology page.

A fight is an individual event with no home side, so the package is a two-fighter comparison: records and finish rates, striking and grappling profiles, reach and stance, layoff and recent activity. The moneyline pair is de-vigged exactly as in a team sport, and the favourite’s fair probability is the number on the card.

Two markets are read: the fight moneyline and the round total. The breakdown discusses likely paths to victory, but method of victory is not a market Sportslyx prices, and the graded read is the winner on the moneyline. A cancelled bout, a no-contest or a fighter withdrawn from the card is void and removed from the month; a split or majority decision counts as an ordinary result.

The probability on every card is market-derived: it comes from the published prices, not from the language model's self-reported confidence. What the breakdown adds is context — why the number sits where it does, what could move it and where the package is thin — together with a data-quality tier (rich, partial or weak) that tells the model how much to claim. Feeds are public and can be delayed or incomplete; when a line is missing, the card says so instead of inventing a figure.

Markets read for UFC: fight moneyline and round total (over/under). The probability comes from the fight moneyline; the others are context. The full grading rules, including how voids and pushes are handled, are on the methodology page.

Inputs read before the breakdown is written

Fighter records and finish rates
Striking and grappling profiles
Reach and stance
Layoff and activity
Market odds and movement

Sourced from the public scoreboard feed and its enrichment feeds; see data sources for refresh timing.

UFC Prediction Accuracy

Settled UFC reads by calendar month (UTC), newest first, from the same records a subscriber sees inside the product. Hit rate excludes pushes; ROI assumes a flat stake on every read.

No settled UFC reads are available for the last six months. UFC runs year-round, with numbered pay-per-view cards roughly monthly and Fight Night events most weekends. An empty table usually means the sport is between seasons or the current month has only just begun; it can also mean the record store was briefly unreachable, in which case the figures return with the next settlement run.

The Pick Tracker keeps the complete monthly history for every sport, and the predictions hub shows the all-sports record for the current month.

A card produces a dozen reads at most and cancellations are common, so the UFC record is thin and lumpy. Voids are removed rather than counted as losses. The company board skips favourites below a 60% market-derived chance, so not every UFC game on this page becomes a graded pick. Past results do not predict future results; a good month is partly variance, and the company board leans on the market favourite by design, so a high hit rate at short prices is the expected shape rather than proof of an edge. Nothing here is advice — it is a record, published so you can judge the method for yourself.

Markets We Cover for UFC

The UFC package reads 2 markets from the public feeds. The probability comes from the fight moneyline; each market is described below with how it is used in the breakdown and, where applicable, how it is graded.

Fight moneyline

A straight price on which fighter wins. The pair is de-vigged into the favourite’s fair probability shown on the card, and the winner is the read that is graded; everything else in the breakdown is context.

Round total (over/under)

Over/under on how long the fight lasts, priced from the public feed. Read alongside finish rates and pace to describe the expected shape of the bout; it is context, not a graded pick. Method of victory comes up in the breakdown prose but is not a market Sportslyx prices.

UFC Prediction FAQ

What happens to a prediction if a fight is cancelled?

Cancelled or no-contest bouts are voided and do not count in the published record. A split or majority decision counts as an ordinary result.

Where does the UFC win probability come from?

From the fight moneyline. Both prices are converted into implied probabilities, the bookmaker margin is removed so the pair sums to 100%, and the favourite’s share is the percentage shown. It is the market’s estimate rather than the language model’s self-reported confidence, and it moves when the line moves.

When does a read on a UFC fight close?

Fifteen minutes after the scheduled start. The breakdown stays readable afterwards, but a pick can no longer be added or changed, so no record contains a read made with the result partly known. A cancelled bout, a no-contest or a fighter withdrawn from the card is void and removed from the month.

Do past UFC results predict future ones?

No. The monthly record is published so the method can be judged on volume rather than on memory. The company board reads the market favourite by design, so a high hit rate at short prices is the expected shape rather than evidence of an edge, and a strong month is partly variance.

Does the company board still read UFC fights?

Not since October 3, 2026. UFC was taken off the company board while fight breakdowns and market-derived win probabilities stay in the product; every UFC read published before that date remains in the graded record, losses included.

Open the AI breakdown for every UFC fight

This page shows the UFC slate, the public lines and the graded record. The app adds the written AI breakdown for each fight and the data package behind it. Without an account you can see the predicted winner and win chance for every upcoming match on the free preview. When you want more, create a free account and start with a 30-day free trial, no card; plans from $9/mo, cancel any time.

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Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain. 18+ only. Please play responsibly — see our Responsible Play page.