League of Legends · MOBA

LoL Analytics & Match Predictions

Every League of Legends series on one board — LCK, LEC, LPL, LCS, MSI and Worlds: AI breakdowns, market-implied win chances where a book prices the match, game scores and a graded record.

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Format note. Regular-season LoL matches are often best-of-one or best-of-three; playoffs and Worlds are best-of-five. Times on this page are UTC.

LoL Match Analysis

A League of Legends series draws on bo3.gg for rosters, crests, league and stage, the best-of format and the live game score, with Leaguepedia as a reserve for the schedule when the primary feed is late. The leagues covered are the ones the feed carries — LCK, LEC, LPL, LCS and the international events, MSI and Worlds — and the breakdown starts from the series line where the free bookmaker feed prices the match, then reads recent series form for both teams. It does not read draft data or champion pools; where bo3.gg carries them, the members-only breakdown adds player ratings for the listed rosters, and none of that is shown on this public page. The write-up says where the package is thin instead of implying depth it lacks. The percentage next to a match on this page exists only where a book line exists and is market-implied — the market’s estimate, not a Sportslyx pick.

What the breakdown reads

Schedule, live scores and results
Rosters and team crests
Tournament and best-of format
Recent series form
Bookmaker lines where covered
Leaguepedia as a reserve for schedules

Not in the package

No draft or agent data and no round-by-round data reach the LoL breakdown; per-map win rates and player ratings enter it only where bo3.gg carries them, and none of that team or player data is shown on this public page. Where the free bookmaker feed does not price a series, the product uses a model estimate marked est.; that estimate stays inside the workspace, and this page shows a percentage only where a real line exists.

LoL Predictions

The percentage on every LoL series page is market-implied: the series moneyline pair from the free bookmaker feed with the bookmaker’s margin removed, so the two sides sum to 100%. It is the market’s number, not a Sportslyx selection, and it exists only where a book prices the series.

Regular-season LoL matches are often best-of-one or best-of-three; playoffs and Worlds are best-of-five. The format is read before the line because it sets the grading rule. A series read that loses by exactly one map — 1–2 in a best-of-three, 2–3 in a best-of-five — is graded as a push, not a loss. The rule is stated on every esports page because it changes how the published hit rate should be read. A best-of-one has no push — a single map decides the read.

What the AI adds is the explanation, not the number. The breakdown reads the same package the analysis section describes — format, the line where a book posts one, rosters, tournament context and recent series form — and writes out why the market sits where it does and what could move it. Board reads are then selected by expected value against the line with a price floor, so a heavy favourite at a very short price is not taken merely because it is likely to win; the model’s series edge is calibrated down before that comparison. Every read is graded from the final map score, and nothing is edited after the fact.

A probability is a statistical estimate. A 65% favourite is expected to lose roughly one series in three; a month in which it loses more than that is not evidence the number was wrong, and a month in which it loses fewer is not evidence it was right. The full LoL board — every series on the slate with its line and status — lives on the LoL predictions page.

LoL Formats & Drafts

League of Legends formats depend on the league and the stage. Regular-season matches are often best-of-one or best-of-three, playoffs are best-of-five, and the international events run best-of-five from the knockout stage. That spread matters for the grading rule more than in any other game: a best-of-one has no push — a single game decides the read — while 1–2 in a best-of-three and 2–3 in a best-of-five are pushes, so the same team can produce a loss one week and a push the next on the same scoreline pattern. Every game begins with a champion draft in alternating bans and picks, and the draft phase sets much of what follows. Sportslyx does not ingest the draft; the breakdown reasons from format, form and the league context and does not quote champion data it does not have.

What moves the LoL line

A LoL series line moves with roster and substitute news, with the best-of format for the stage — a best-of-one regular-season match and a best-of-five playoff between the same teams are two different markets — and with the weight of the event. The free bookmaker feed prices the major leagues and the international events; matches it does not cover carry a model estimate marked est. inside the product and show no percentage here. Where a line exists, the market-implied chance on this page is the series moneyline de-vigged at the last refresh. Board reads are selected by expected value against that line with a price floor, and the model’s series edge is calibrated down before the comparison, so a best-of-one at a short price is not taken just because the favourite is likely to win.

Markets We Cover for LoL

The LoL package reads 3 markets from the free bookmaker feed where it covers the series. Each is described below with how it is used in the breakdown; the moneyline is the market board reads are graded on.

Series moneyline

A straight price on which team wins the series. It is the market the free bookmaker feed prices most often, the one de-vigged into the market-implied chance on every public page, and the one board reads are compared against by expected value.

Map handicap (±1.5)

The favourite gives a map and a half, the underdog receives it. In a best-of-three the favourite must win 2–0 to cover; the underdog covers by taking a single map. The breakdown reads it as the market’s view of how one-sided the series is expected to be.

Total maps (over/under)

Over or under on how many maps the series lasts — 2.5 in a best-of-three, 3.5 or 4.5 in a best-of-five. A short total says the market expects a sweep; a long one, a series that goes the distance. It is context for the read, not a market the board grades.

Bookmaker coverage is partial: right now 2 of the 12 live and upcoming LoL series in the board window carry a real line. Series the book does not price are priced inside the product by a model estimate marked est., and those prices enter the record, which is why ROI on this site is labelled “partly est. prices”.

LoL Track Record

Published LoL board reads settled in each of the last 3 calendar months (UTC), newest first, graded from the final map score. Hit rate is wins divided by wins plus losses with pushes excluded; ROI assumes a flat stake per read.

LoL board reads by month
Month	Settled	W-L-P	Hit rate	ROI
September 2026	30	14-11-5	56%	-7.8%
August 2026	123	75-30-18	71%	+10.8%
July 2026	39	27-7-5	79%	+20.3%

ROI at a flat stake, partly est. prices; one-map losses are pushes.

A series read that loses by exactly one map — 1–2 in a best-of-three, 2–3 in a best-of-five — is graded as a push, not a loss. The rule is stated on every esports page because it changes how the published hit rate should be read. Part of the prices behind these reads are model estimates rather than bookmaker lines, so the ROI column is labelled accordingly. 3 months of LoL is a small sample — a single event can be most of a month — so read it as a window into the method, not as a forecast; past results do not predict future results.

Live & Upcoming LoL Matches

LoL series in the board window, live first and then by start time (UTC), with both rosters, the tournament, the best-of format, the map score once play begins and the public line where a book prices the series. A series without a line is listed without a percentage.

Recent LoL results

All LoL matches with lines and analysis →

LoL Analytics FAQ

How does Sportslyx analyze a LoL series?

The breakdown starts from the series format and the market line where a book covers the match, then reads recent form, rosters and the tournament context. The output is a written analysis and, for board reads, a graded result. A series read that loses by exactly one map — 1–2 in a best-of-three, 2–3 in a best-of-five — is graded as a push, not a loss. The rule is stated on every esports page because it changes how the published hit rate should be read.

Where do LoL lines come from?

A free public bookmaker feed that prices the top divisions — series moneyline, map handicap and total maps. Matches the book does not cover carry a model estimate marked “est.” instead of a real line.

Why is a one-map loss a push in LoL?

A best-of series lost 1–2 or 2–3 is structurally the esports equivalent of a soccer draw: the read was one map from right. Sportslyx grades it as a push and says so openly, because it lifts the published hit rate relative to a plain win/loss count.

Is there a public track record for LoL?

Yes. Board reads are graded from the final map score and published by month with hit rate and ROI at a flat stake; where the price was a model estimate, ROI is marked est.

Is this betting advice?

Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain.

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Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain. 18+ only. Please play responsibly — see our Responsible Play page.