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League of Legends · MOBA

LoL Predictions Powered by Analytics

LoL predictions start from the series line where a book covers the match and read form, rosters and the league context; best-of-one matches have no one-map push.

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Live & Upcoming LoL Series

LoL series on the board in order — live first, then upcoming by start time (UTC) — with tournament, best-of format and the public book line where the feed carries one. Where both moneyline prices exist, the market-implied chance of the favourite is shown; it is the same number a subscriber sees on the card, and it is the market’s estimate, not a Sportslyx selection. The written breakdown for each series lives inside the product.

Market-implied series favourites

Fair chance of the series favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed from both moneyline prices. It is the market's estimate, shown only where a book prices the series; it is not a Sportslyx selection, and it moves when the line moves.

Recent LoL results

Final map scores from the public feed; the winning side is highlighted. Every settled series has its own page on the LoL matches index.

How LoL Predictions Are Made

Every LoL estimate on this site is anchored to the market where a book prices the series and written from the public feed. What follows is the LoL-specific version of the pipeline described on the esports predictions hub.

League of Legends formats split cleanly by stage: regular-season matches are often best-of-one or best-of-three, playoffs and Worlds are best-of-five. In a best-of-one there is no one-map push — the read wins or loses on a single game — so the LoL record mixes plain win-loss results from bo1 leagues with series results where a 1–2 or 2–3 defeat is returned. Where the book prices the series, the moneyline pair is de-vigged into the market-implied chance shown on this page.

Schedules, live scores, results and rosters come from bo3.gg with Leaguepedia as a reserve for schedules; LCK, LEC, LPL, LCS, MSI and Worlds are the competitions on the board. The breakdown reads form, rosters and the league context against the line. Series the book does not price carry a model estimate marked est. inside the product and no public percentage; ROI in the record is labelled accordingly.

The percentage on every LoL card is market-implied: it comes from the book's moneyline pair with the margin removed, not from the language model's self-reported confidence, and it exists only where a book line exists. What the breakdown adds is context — the format, recent series form, roster changes and the tournament stage — together with an honest account of where the public feed is thin. Per-map win rates and player ratings enter the breakdown only where bo3.gg carries them, and the public pages show none of that team or player data.

Board reads are not “take the favourite”: a read is placed when its expected value at the available price clears a floor, after the model's series edge has been shrunk by a calibration factor. A series read that loses by exactly one map — 1–2 in a best-of-three, 2–3 in a best-of-five — is graded as a push, not a loss. The rule is stated on every esports page because it changes how the published hit rate should be read. Markets covered for LoL: series moneyline, map handicap (±1.5) and total maps (over/under). The grading rules shared with the sports side are on the methodology page.

Inputs read before the breakdown is written

  • Schedule, live scores and results
  • Rosters and team crests
  • Tournament and best-of format
  • Recent series form
  • Bookmaker lines where covered
  • Leaguepedia as a reserve for schedules

Schedules, live scores, results, rosters and tournaments come from public esports feeds (bo3.gg, with OpenDota and Leaguepedia as reserves); real lines come from a free public bookmaker feed where it covers the match, otherwise the price is a model estimate marked “est.”. See data sources for refresh timing.

LoL Prediction Accuracy

Settled LoL board reads by calendar month (UTC), newest first, from the same records a subscriber sees inside the product. Hit rate excludes pushes; ROI assumes a flat stake on every read and is labelled partly est. because some prices were model estimates.

LoL board reads — last six months
MonthSettledW-L-PHit rateROI
September 20263014-11-556%-7.8%
August 202612375-30-1871%+10.8%
July 20263927-7-579%+20.3%
June 202600-0-0——
May 202600-0-0——
April 202600-0-0——

ROI at a flat stake, partly est. prices; one-map losses are pushes.

Over the period shown: 192 settled reads, 116-48-28 W-L-P, a hit rate of 71% with pushes excluded, and an ROI of +9.8% at a flat stake (partly est. prices).

LoL mixes best-of-one regular seasons, where every read is a plain win or loss, with best-of-five playoffs where a 2–3 defeat is a push, so the pushes column rises and falls with the calendar rather than with the method. League schedules are dense during a split and empty between them. Coverage is partial by design — the free public book prices some divisions and not others — so a month can lean on model-estimated prices, and the ROI label says so. Past results do not predict future results; a good month is partly variance, and a series lost by exactly one map is a push, which lifts the hit rate relative to a plain win-loss count. Nothing here is advice — it is a record, published so you can judge the method for yourself.

Markets We Cover for LoL

The LoL board reads 3 markets from the free public bookmaker feed, priced for the top divisions. In LoL a best-of-one has no map handicap and no total maps to speak of — the series moneyline is the only market that applies — while best-of-five playoffs carry all three. Each is described below with how it is used in the breakdown and how a read on it is graded.

Series moneyline

A straight price on which team wins the series. It is the market the free public feed prices for the top divisions, the pair Sportslyx de-vigs into the market-implied win chance on every LoL card, and the market board reads default to. A read lost by exactly one map is a push.

Map handicap (±1.5)

The favourite gives one and a half maps, the underdog receives them. In a best-of-three the favourite must sweep 2–0 to cover, so the handicap price says how the market rates a sweep against a decider. The breakdown reads it as context and does not re-price it.

Total maps (over/under)

Over/under on how many maps the series lasts — 2.5 in a best-of-three, a higher number in a best-of-five. A short total is the market expecting a sweep; a long one expects a decider. Read alongside the handicap to describe the shape of the series the market expects.

LoL Prediction FAQ

How does Sportslyx analyze a LoL series?

The breakdown starts from the series format and the market line where a book covers the match, then reads recent form, rosters and the tournament context. The output is a written analysis and, for board reads, a graded result. A series read that loses by exactly one map — 1–2 in a best-of-three, 2–3 in a best-of-five — is graded as a push, not a loss. The rule is stated on every esports page because it changes how the published hit rate should be read.

Where do LoL lines come from?

A free public bookmaker feed that prices the top divisions — series moneyline, map handicap and total maps. Matches the book does not cover carry a model estimate marked “est.” instead of a real line.

Why is a one-map loss a push in LoL?

A best-of series lost 1–2 or 2–3 is structurally the esports equivalent of a soccer draw: the read was one map from right. Sportslyx grades it as a push and says so openly, because it lifts the published hit rate relative to a plain win/loss count.

Is there a public track record for LoL?

Yes. Board reads are graded from the final map score and published by month with hit rate and ROI at a flat stake; where the price was a model estimate, ROI is marked est.

Is this betting advice?

Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain.

Open the AI breakdown for every LoL series

The public page shows the LoL board, the book lines and the graded record. A 7-day Pro trial adds the written breakdown for each series, the daily esports board reads, esports Combos and Studio and personal pick tracking — card on file, nothing charged today, cancel before the trial ends.

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Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain. 18+ only. Please play responsibly — see our Responsible Play page.