Dota 2 · MOBA

Dota 2 Predictions Powered by Analytics

Dota 2 predictions start from the series line where a book covers the match and read form, rosters and tournament context; a best-of-two can end 1–1 with no series winner, and a read on it is voided rather than graded.

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Live & Upcoming Dota 2 Series

Dota 2 series on the board in order — live first, then upcoming by start time (UTC) — with tournament, best-of format and the public book line where the feed carries one. Where both moneyline prices exist, the market-implied chance of the favourite is shown; it is the same number a subscriber sees on the card, and it is the market’s estimate, not a Sportslyx selection. The written breakdown for each series lives inside the product.

Market-implied series favourites

Team Synapse vs Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+4 65% · -220
Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4Natus Vincere 76% · -425
MOUZ vs GamerLegionGamerLegion 74% · -375

Fair chance of the series favourite once the bookmaker margin is removed from both moneyline prices. It is the market's estimate, shown only where a book prices the series; it is not a Sportslyx selection, and it moves when the line moves.

Recent Dota 2 results

Final map scores from the public feed; the winning side is highlighted. Every settled series has its own page on the Dota 2 matches index.

How Dota 2 Predictions Are Made

Every Dota 2 estimate on this site is anchored to the market where a book prices the series and written from the public feed. What follows is the Dota 2-specific version of the pipeline described on the esports predictions hub.

Dota 2 formats vary more than in any other game on the board: group stages are often best-of-two, playoffs best-of-three, and finals best-of-five. The format decides what a push looks like — a 1–2 in a best-of-three and a 2–3 in a best-of-five return the read, while a 1–1 best-of-two has no series winner and is voided rather than graded. Where the book prices the series, its moneyline pair is de-vigged into the market-implied chance shown on this page.

bo3.gg supplies the schedule, live scores, results, rosters and tournament context; OpenDota is the reserve for live and recent series when the primary feed is thin. The breakdown reads form, rosters and tournament stage against the line. A series the book leaves unpriced shows no public percentage; inside the product it carries a model estimate marked est., and the graded record says so wherever ROI is quoted.

The percentage on every Dota 2 card is market-implied: it comes from the book's moneyline pair with the margin removed, not from the language model's self-reported confidence, and it exists only where a book line exists. What the breakdown adds is context — the format, recent series form, roster changes and the tournament stage — together with an honest account of where the public feed is thin. Per-map win rates and player ratings enter the breakdown only where bo3.gg carries them, and the public pages show none of that team or player data.

Board reads are not “take the favourite”: a read is placed when its expected value at the available price clears a floor, after the model's series edge has been shrunk by a calibration factor. A series read that loses by exactly one map — 1–2 in a best-of-three, 2–3 in a best-of-five — is graded as a push, not a loss. The rule is stated on every esports page because it changes how the published hit rate should be read. Markets covered for Dota 2: series moneyline, map handicap (±1.5) and total maps (over/under). The grading rules shared with the sports side are on the methodology page.

Inputs read before the breakdown is written

Schedule, live scores and results
Rosters and team crests
Tournament and best-of format
Recent series form
Bookmaker lines where covered
OpenDota as a reserve for live and recent series

Schedules, live scores, results, rosters and tournaments come from public esports feeds (bo3.gg, with OpenDota and Leaguepedia as reserves); real lines come from a free public bookmaker feed where it covers the match, otherwise the price is a model estimate marked “est.”. See data sources for refresh timing.

Dota 2 Prediction Accuracy

Settled Dota 2 board reads by calendar month (UTC), newest first, from the same records a subscriber sees inside the product. Hit rate excludes pushes; ROI assumes a flat stake on every read and is labelled partly est. because some prices were model estimates.

Dota 2 board reads — last six months
Month	Settled	W-L-P	Hit rate	ROI
September 2026	38	22-12-4	65%	+4.6%
August 2026	116	68-26-22	72%	+13.3%
July 2026	25	14-7-4	67%	+4.1%
June 2026	0	0-0-0	—	—
May 2026	0	0-0-0	—	—
April 2026	0	0-0-0	—	—

ROI at a flat stake, partly est. prices; one-map losses are pushes.

Over the period shown: 179 settled reads, 104-45-30 W-L-P, a hit rate of 70% with pushes excluded, and an ROI of +10.2% at a flat stake (partly est. prices).

Dota 2 pushes come from 1–2 best-of-three and 2–3 best-of-five series; a best-of-two that ends 1–1 has no series winner and is voided, so it appears in neither the pushes nor the losses column. The calendar has quiet gaps between events; an empty month is the calendar, not a missing file. Coverage is partial by design — the free public book prices some divisions and not others — so a month can lean on model-estimated prices, and the ROI label says so. Past results do not predict future results; a good month is partly variance, and a series lost by exactly one map is a push, which lifts the hit rate relative to a plain win-loss count. Nothing here is advice — it is a record, published so you can judge the method for yourself.

Markets We Cover for Dota 2

The Dota 2 board reads 3 markets from the free public bookmaker feed, priced for the top divisions. In Dota 2 the format changes by stage — best-of-two groups, best-of-three playoffs, best-of-five finals — so the handicap and total are read against the format of that specific series. Each is described below with how it is used in the breakdown and how a read on it is graded.

Series moneyline

A straight price on which team wins the series. It is the market the free public feed prices for the top divisions, the pair Sportslyx de-vigs into the market-implied win chance on every Dota 2 card, and the market board reads default to. A read lost by exactly one map is a push.

Map handicap (±1.5)

The favourite gives one and a half maps, the underdog receives them. In a best-of-three the favourite must sweep 2–0 to cover, so the handicap price says how the market rates a sweep against a decider. The breakdown reads it as context and does not re-price it.

Total maps (over/under)

Over/under on how many maps the series lasts — 2.5 in a best-of-three, a higher number in a best-of-five. A short total is the market expecting a sweep; a long one expects a decider. Read alongside the handicap to describe the shape of the series the market expects.

Dota 2 Prediction FAQ

How does Sportslyx analyze a Dota 2 series?

The breakdown starts from the series format and the market line where a book covers the match, then reads recent form, rosters and the tournament context. The output is a written analysis and, for board reads, a graded result. A series read that loses by exactly one map — 1–2 in a best-of-three, 2–3 in a best-of-five — is graded as a push, not a loss. The rule is stated on every esports page because it changes how the published hit rate should be read.

Where do Dota 2 lines come from?

A free public bookmaker feed that prices the top divisions — series moneyline, map handicap and total maps. Matches the book does not cover carry a model estimate marked “est.” instead of a real line.

Why is a one-map loss a push in Dota 2?

A best-of series lost 1–2 or 2–3 is structurally the esports equivalent of a soccer draw: the read was one map from right. Sportslyx grades it as a push and says so openly, because it lifts the published hit rate relative to a plain win/loss count.

Is there a public track record for Dota 2?

Yes. Board reads are graded from the final map score and published by month with hit rate and ROI at a flat stake; where the price was a model estimate, ROI is marked est.

Is this betting advice?

Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain.

Open the AI breakdown for every Dota 2 series

The public page shows the Dota 2 board, the book lines and the graded record. A 7-day Pro trial adds the written breakdown for each series, the daily esports board reads, esports Combos and Studio and personal pick tracking — card on file, nothing charged today, cancel before the trial ends.

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Sportslyx produces statistical estimates and analytical breakdowns for information and entertainment. Nothing on this page is betting advice, and no outcome is certain. 18+ only. Please play responsibly — see our Responsible Play page.