MLS · Thursday, September 10, 2026
San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC — Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC is in progress (HT). Below: the public lines as posted before the start, the market-implied win probability, team statistics, recent form and head-to-head history.
MLS
San Jose Earthquakes3
San Diego FC1In progress · HT
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California
Overview
Match Overview
The facts of the match as the public feed reports them. Times are UTC; the lines are a snapshot from the last refresh, not a closing price.
- Competition
- MLS
- Date
- Thursday, September 10, 2026
- Start time (UTC)
- 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California
- Status
- In progress · HT · SJ 3 – SD 1
- Point spread
- SD -0.5
- Game total
- O/U 3.5
- Moneyline
- SJ +360 · SD -175 · Draw +340
- Market-implied
- San Diego FC 75%
Market-implied: San Diego FC 75%. The moneyline pair (SJ +360 / SD -175) is de-vigged two-way into a fair probability, and San Diego FC comes out as the market favorite at 75% (price -175). This is the market's number — the same anchor the Sportslyx board uses — and it is not a Sportslyx pick. The members-only breakdown is written separately from these inputs and graded on its own.
Soccer is priced on the three-way 1X2 line (draw +340); the draw is removed before the two-way de-vig, which is also why a drawn match is graded as a push rather than a loss.
Statistics
Team Statistics
Recent record and scoring for both teams from the match data package — the same public numbers the breakdown reads before it is written.
| Team | Recent record | Scoring in the sample |
|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 1-3-6 | 1.1 for / 2.3 against per game (last 10) |
| San Diego FC | 4-2-4 | 1.5 for / 1.4 against per game (last 10) |
Recent record and scoring over the sample the feed provides · data package built Sep 9, 10:15 PM UTC.
Form
Recent Form
The last five results for each side, oldest first, with the feed's one-line summary. Form is a momentum signal, not a forecast — the breakdown reads it next to rest and availability.
San Jose Earthquakes
- L
- L
- L
- D
- D
1-3-6 in last 10; streak even
San Diego FC
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
4-2-4 in last 10; streak L1
History
Head-to-Head
Previous meetings in the feed, most recent first, with competition, score and winner. A short series says little on its own; it matters when it exposes a style matchup the season numbers hide.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | ESPN schedule | SD at SJ | 3-0 | — |
Members only
AI Match Analysis
What the Sportslyx breakdown for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC covers — and why none of it is printed here.
The members-only breakdown is written by a language model from the hydrated data package and the market line at the time it is generated. For Soccer it weighs league table and form, goals and shot data, rest and fixture congestion, market odds and movement and head-to-head history and states which side the numbers favor; the read is later graded against the result. AI breakdowns are pre-generated for the upcoming slate and cached; the win probability on the card is derived from the current market line. The breakdown text is not rewritten when the line moves. A data-quality tier — rich, partial or weak — is passed to the model so thin data is flagged rather than hidden, and the percentage shown anywhere on Sportslyx is a market-derived win probability, not a model score.
Nothing from that breakdown appears on this public page: not the side, not the data-quality tier, not the text. What you can check without an account is how past reads performed — the Pick Tracker publishes hit rate and ROI at a flat stake by month and by sport, and the AI sports analysis page explains how the model is prompted and where it fails.
What the Soccer breakdown weighs
- League table and form
- Goals and shot data
- Rest and fixture congestion
- Market odds and movement
- Head-to-head history
Players
Key Player Statistics
Statistical leaders and the availability report for both sides, from the match data package. Late scratches are among the main reasons a line moves before the start.
Player-level numbers for this matchup — goals and assists, shots per match, key passes and minutes played — appear here once the match data package carries statistical leaders and an availability report. Availability is one of the main reasons a line moves; this section shows the package as it was last built for the slate.
League-wide player statistics are on the Soccer statistics hub.
Grading
Prediction Tracking
How a read on San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC is settled and where the result is published.
The read is graded on the 1X2 result: the picked side winning is a win, the other side winning is a loss, and a draw is a push. That rule is stated openly because it flatters the hit rate compared with a true draw-no-bet price, and it applies to every soccer read in the record.
Tracked picks close 15 minutes after the start, so a read cannot be added once the match is under way. Postponed matches are removed from the record rather than counted. Every settled read lands in a calendar-month (UTC) record with hit rate — wins divided by wins plus losses, pushes excluded — and ROI at a flat stake per read. One period, one set of rules, across the whole product.
The same settlement rules apply to your own tracked picks inside the workspace: add San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC to a watchlist, log a read, and it is graded automatically from the official result, with your net result shown in money at your own stake. The public record is on the Pick Tracker, the per-sport history on Soccer predictions, and the full rule set on the Methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
When does San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC start?
San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC is in progress right now (HT). It started on Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 2:30 AM UTC at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California; tracked picks on this match closed 15 minutes after the start.
What are the spread, total and moneyline for San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC?
As of the last refresh: spread SD -0.5; total O/U 3.5; moneyline SJ +360 / SD -175 / draw +340. The spread is quoted from the home side and these are public lines from the schedule feed — they can move before the start, and the page shows a snapshot rather than a closing line.
Who is the market favorite in San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC?
San Diego FC, at 75% market-implied (price -175). The figure is produced by de-vigging the moneyline pair into a fair two-way probability. It is the market's estimate, not a Sportslyx pick — the members-only breakdown may agree or disagree with it, and it is graded either way.
How is a prediction on San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC graded?
The read is graded on the 1X2 result: the picked side winning is a win, the other side winning is a loss, and a draw is a push. That rule is stated openly because it flatters the hit rate compared with a true draw-no-bet price, and it applies to every soccer read in the record. Tracked picks close 15 minutes after the start, and every settled read lands in a calendar-month (UTC) record with hit rate and ROI at a flat stake, published on the Pick Tracker.
Open the San Jose Earthquakes vs San Diego FC breakdown
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