Dana White's Contender Series · Tuesday, October 13, 2026
Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral: UFC Prediction, Odds & AI Analysis (Oct 13, 2026)
Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral — Dana White's Contender Series, on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC at Meta APEX, Las Vegas. Below: the public lines, the market-implied win probability, fighter statistics, recent form, head-to-head history and a preview of the in-product AI breakdown.
Dana White's Contender Series
Douglas da Lapa
Davi CabralScheduled · Oct 13, 11:00 PM UTC
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Times shown in UTC — adjust for your local time zone.
Overview
Fight Overview
The facts of the fight as the public feed reports them. Times are UTC; the lines are a snapshot from the last refresh, not a closing price.
- Competition
- Dana White's Contender Series
- Date
- Start time (UTC)
- 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Meta APEX, Las Vegas
- Status
- Scheduled · Oct 13, 11:00 PM UTC
- Moneyline
- DDL -185 · DC +160
- Market-implied
- Douglas da Lapa 63%
Market-implied: Douglas da Lapa 63%. The moneyline pair (DDL -185 / DC +160) is de-vigged two-way into a fair probability, and Douglas da Lapa comes out as the market favorite at 63% (price -185). This is the market's number — the same anchor the Sportslyx board uses — and it is not a Sportslyx pick. The in-product breakdown is written separately from these inputs and graded on its own.
Statistics
Fighter Records
Fighter numbers for Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral and how they are used in the breakdown.
Fighter statistics — record and finish rate, significant strikes landed and absorbed, takedown rate and defense, reach and stance — are compiled inside the in-product fight breakdown rather than on this public page.
The UFC statistics hub explains what each measure captures and why the moneyline moves with it.
Form
Recent Form
What recent form means for a fighter and where it is weighed.
Recent form for a fighter is the last few results, the method and round of each finish, and the layoff since the previous bout — a different shape from a team's last-five strip, so it is compiled inside the in-product fight breakdown.
The UFC analytics hub explains how activity and layoff are weighed.
History
Head-to-Head
Previous meetings in the feed, most recent first, with competition, score and winner. A short series says little on its own; it matters when it exposes a style matchup the season numbers hide.
Douglas da Lapa and Davi Cabral have no previous meeting in the feed. Rematches are uncommon in the UFC, and when one happens the earlier result is weighed in the in-product breakdown alongside how both fighters have changed since.
The UFC predictions hub keeps the graded record of past UFC reads; the company board has placed no new UFC reads since October 3, 2026.
In the product
AI Fight Analysis
What the Sportslyx breakdown for Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral covers — and why none of it is printed here.
The in-product breakdown is written by a language model from the hydrated data package and the market line at the time it is generated. For UFC it weighs fighter records and finish rates, striking and grappling profiles, reach and stance, layoff and activity and market odds and movement and states which side the numbers favor; the read is later graded against the result. AI breakdowns are pre-generated for the upcoming slate and cached; the win probability on the card is derived from the current market line. The breakdown text is not rewritten when the line moves. A data-quality tier — rich, partial or weak — is passed to the model so thin data is flagged rather than hidden, and the percentage shown anywhere on Sportslyx is a market-derived win probability, not a model score.
Nothing from that breakdown appears on this public page: not the side, not the data-quality tier, not the text. What you can check without an account is how past reads performed — the Pick Tracker publishes hit rate and ROI at a flat stake by month and by sport, and the AI sports analysis page explains how the model is prompted and where it fails.
What the UFC breakdown weighs
- Fighter records and finish rates
- Striking and grappling profiles
- Reach and stance
- Layoff and activity
- Market odds and movement
Players
Fighter Statistics
Statistical leaders and the availability report for both sides, from the fight data package. Late scratches are among the main reasons a line moves before the start.
Fighter-level numbers — strikes per minute, striking accuracy, takedowns per 15 minutes and submission attempts — are compiled inside the in-product breakdown for this bout rather than on the public page.
The UFC statistics hub defines each measure.
Grading
Prediction Tracking
How a read on Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral is settled and where the result is published.
The company board has placed no new UFC reads since October 3, 2026; past UFC reads stay in the graded record. They were graded on the official winner of the bout, and a cancelled fight, a no-contest or a bout pulled from the card was void and left the record. Inside the product the round total (over/under) is priced alongside the moneyline; method of victory is not a market Sportslyx prices and appears only in the breakdown prose.
Tracked picks close 15 minutes after the start, so a read cannot be added once the fight is under way. Postponed fights are removed from the record rather than counted. Every settled read lands in a calendar-month (UTC) record with hit rate — wins divided by wins plus losses, pushes excluded — and ROI at a flat stake per read. One period, one set of rules, across the whole product.
The same settlement rules apply to your own tracked picks inside the workspace: add Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral to a watchlist, log a read, and it is graded automatically from the official result, with your net result shown in money at your own stake. The public record is on the Pick Tracker, the per-sport history on UFC predictions, and the full rule set on the Methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
When does Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral start?
Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral is scheduled on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC at Meta APEX, Las Vegas. Times on Sportslyx are shown in UTC — adjust for your local time zone. Start times can shift, so the board is refreshed from the schedule feed several times a day.
What is the moneyline for Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral?
As of the last refresh the public moneyline is Douglas da Lapa -185 and Davi Cabral +160. A negative price is the favorite, a positive price the underdog; the line can move up to the walkout as the card firms up.
Who is the market favorite in Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral?
Douglas da Lapa, at 63% market-implied (price -185). The figure is produced by de-vigging the moneyline pair into a fair two-way probability. It is the market's estimate, not a Sportslyx pick — the in-product breakdown may agree or disagree with it, and it is graded either way.
How is a prediction on Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral graded?
The company board has placed no new UFC reads since October 3, 2026; past UFC reads stay in the graded record. They were graded on the official winner of the bout, and a cancelled fight, a no-contest or a bout pulled from the card was void and left the record. Inside the product the round total (over/under) is priced alongside the moneyline; method of victory is not a market Sportslyx prices and appears only in the breakdown prose. Tracked picks close 15 minutes after the start, and every settled read lands in a calendar-month (UTC) record with hit rate and ROI at a flat stake, published on the Pick Tracker.
Open the Douglas da Lapa vs Davi Cabral breakdown
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