Tampa Bay Lightning1–5final
New York RangersNew York Rangers — Moneyline +124
43%+124+$124.00
NHL · Thursday, October 1, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers: NHL Final Score & AI Analysis (Oct 1, 2026)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers is final: TB 1 – NYR 5. Below: team statistics, recent form, head-to-head history and how a read on this game was graded.
NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning1
New York Rangers5Final · Final
Madison Square Garden, New York
Overview
Game Overview
The facts of the game as the public feed reports them. Times are UTC; the lines are a snapshot from the last refresh, not a closing price.
- Competition
- NHL
- Date
- Start time (UTC)
- 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Madison Square Garden, New York
- Status
- Final · Final · TB 1 – NYR 5
- Market-implied
- No pre-start line retained
This game is final (TB 1 – NYR 5). The public feed does not retain pre-start lines after the final, so no market-implied probability is shown. If the company board placed a read on this game, the graded result is on the public results page.
Statistics
Team Statistics
Recent record and scoring for both teams from the game data package — the same public numbers the breakdown reads before it is written.
| Team | Recent record | Scoring in the sample |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 2-3 | 2.4 for / 3.0 against per game (last 5) |
| New York Rangers | 3-3 | 3.3 for / 2.5 against per game (last 6) |
Recent record and scoring over the sample the feed provides · data package built Oct 2, 6:20 PM UTC.
Form
Recent Form
The last five results for each side, oldest first, with the feed's one-line summary. Form is a momentum signal, not a forecast — the breakdown reads it next to rest and availability.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- L
- L
- W
- W
- L
2-3 in last 5; streak L1
New York Rangers
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
3-3 in last 6; streak W1
History
Head-to-Head
Previous meetings in the feed, most recent first, with competition, score and winner. A short series says little on its own; it matters when it exposes a style matchup the season numbers hide.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | NHL | TB at NYR | 5-1 | — |
Published read
Sportslyx Pick & Result
The read the company board published on Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers before the start, shown exactly as it appears in the public journal. Past days are open in full; today’s and tomorrow’s reads open on a paid plan.
Thu · Oct 1
Tampa Bay Lightning1–5finalNew York RangersSportslyx published “New York Rangers — Moneyline +124” on the company board before the start. It was graded a win from the official final result: +$124.00 at the flat $100 stake every read in the record uses.
The board plays a slate rather than a shortlist of good days: every other read from October 2026 — the losing ones included — is listed with its price, its final score and its net result in the October 2026 results journal. Hit rate and ROI there are counted at a flat stake per read over the calendar month (UTC), and red months are shown as they happened.
The written breakdown behind the read — the reasoning, the data-quality tier and the model’s own notes — stays inside the product; what is public is the read itself and how it was settled.
In the product
AI Game Analysis
What the Sportslyx breakdown for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers covers — and why none of it is printed here.
The in-product breakdown is written by a language model from the hydrated data package and the market line at the time it is generated. For NHL it weighs starting goaltender, rest and back-to-backs, special teams, shot metrics and market lines and movement and states which side the numbers favor; the read is later graded against the result. AI breakdowns are pre-generated for the upcoming slate and cached; the win probability on the card is derived from the current market line. The breakdown text is not rewritten when the line moves. A data-quality tier — rich, partial or weak — is passed to the model so thin data is flagged rather than hidden, and the percentage shown anywhere on Sportslyx is a market-derived win probability, not a model score.
Nothing from that written breakdown appears on this public page: not the data-quality tier, not the text. The side is shown above only because this one is already settled — past days of the board are public, the current and next day are not. What you can check without an account is how past reads performed — the Pick Tracker publishes hit rate and ROI at a flat stake by month and by sport, and the AI sports analysis page explains how the model is prompted and where it fails.
What the NHL breakdown weighs
- Starting goaltender
- Rest and back-to-backs
- Special teams
- Shot metrics
- Market lines and movement
Players
Key Player Statistics
Statistical leaders and the availability report for both sides, from the game data package. Late scratches are among the main reasons a line moves before the start.
Player-level numbers for this matchup — goals and assists, shots on goal, time on ice and goalie starts and save rate — appear here once the game data package carries statistical leaders and an availability report. Availability is one of the main reasons a line moves; this section shows the package as it was last built for the slate.
League-wide player statistics are on the NHL statistics hub.
Grading
Prediction Tracking
How a read on Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers is settled and where the result is published.
The moneyline read is graded on the final result including overtime and the shootout, matching how the market settles the game. The puck line and total, when discussed, follow the same final score.
Tracked picks close 15 minutes after the start, so a read cannot be added once the game is under way. Postponed games are removed from the record rather than counted. Every settled read lands in a calendar-month (UTC) record with hit rate — wins divided by wins plus losses, pushes excluded — and ROI at a flat stake per read. One period, one set of rules, across the whole product.
The same settlement rules apply to your own tracked picks inside the workspace: add Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers to a watchlist, log a read, and it is graded automatically from the official result, with your net result shown in money at your own stake. The public record is on the Pick Tracker, the per-sport history on NHL predictions, and the full rule set on the Methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
When was Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers played?
Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers was played on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:00 PM UTC at Madison Square Garden, New York and is final: TB 1 – NYR 5. The result is what any read on this game is graded against.
What are the spread, total and moneyline for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers?
This game is final (TB 1 – NYR 5). The public feed does not retain pre-start lines after the final, so no market-implied probability is shown. If the company board placed a read on this game, the graded result is on the public results page at /results.
Who is the market favorite in Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers?
This game is final (TB 1 – NYR 5). The public feed does not retain pre-start lines after the final, so no market-implied probability is shown. The percentage shown on Sportslyx is always a market-derived win probability from the two moneylines, not a model output. If the company board placed a read on this game, the graded result is on the public results page at /results.
How is a prediction on Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers graded?
The moneyline read is graded on the final result including overtime and the shootout, matching how the market settles the game. The puck line and total, when discussed, follow the same final score. Tracked picks close 15 minutes after the start, and every settled read lands in a calendar-month (UTC) record with hit rate and ROI at a flat stake, published on the Pick Tracker.
Open the Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers breakdown
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